Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.710593 0.834382 0.968343 1.123481 1.297574 1.486288 1.705679
2025-09-07 0.518909 0.691937 0.897535 1.156798 1.471769 1.838713 2.294992
2025-09-14 0.389665 0.584999 0.837649 1.180683 1.625902 2.175480 2.895505
2025-09-21 0.285822 0.481990 0.757123 1.156883 1.706975 2.420556 3.397133
2025-09-28 0.226807 0.424937 0.723433 1.182914 1.846470 2.742286 4.011072
2025-10-05 0.182621 0.378529 0.694138 1.206090 1.977640 3.055793 4.627953
2025-10-12 0.148215 0.339066 0.666832 1.224925 2.099066 3.358482 5.242223
2025-10-19 0.117763 0.298391 0.629332 1.220348 2.180984 3.605519 5.787214
2025-10-26 0.090770 0.256612 0.581707 1.191064 2.218593 3.785796 6.241226
2025-11-02 0.073702 0.230570 0.557401 1.196574 2.308954 4.046416 6.820837
2025-11-09 0.056029 0.197274 0.512659 1.159078 2.323217 4.188264 7.226734
2025-11-16 0.045591 0.178342 0.493098 1.164287 2.407739 4.441536 7.808994
2025-11-23 0.035881 0.158162 0.467944 1.157265 2.473062 4.672145 8.374625
2025-11-30 0.030830 0.150007 0.468461 1.201211 2.632615 5.064699 9.211627
2025-12-07 0.025780 0.139739 0.462050 1.230024 2.766294 5.420697 10.004878
2025-12-14 0.019518 0.121875 0.433025 1.207181 2.801283 5.611808 10.540224
2025-12-21 0.016262 0.113846 0.427707 1.234839 2.933383 5.973342 11.364386
2025-12-28 0.013453 0.106062 0.421368 1.259127 3.059890 6.329849 12.191681
2026-01-04 0.011009 0.098357 0.413537 1.278745 3.177792 6.675423 13.011432
2026-01-11 0.008516 0.088365 0.396479 1.274065 3.245661 6.934119 13.693004
2026-01-18 0.006143 0.076556 0.370498 1.243791 3.257847 7.091922 14.207447
2026-01-25 0.004787 0.069825 0.359444 1.249501 3.345160 7.389272 14.969010
2026-02-01 0.003271 0.059540 0.332817 1.210704 3.333648 7.502282 15.413798